As we reflect on the 2026 awards season landscape, the recent Golden Globe nominations have solidified several frontrunners like Hamnet, Sinners, and One Battle After Another, setting a clear narrative for the path to the Oscars. While celebrated films such as Matry Supreme, Sentimental Value, and Jay Kelly received their expected recognition, the announcement also delivered significant surprises. I've analyzed the notable omissions—films that, despite being shut out of the Globes, still possess a viable, albeit challenging, route to Academy Award recognition. The journey from a Globes snub to an Oscar nod is a well-trodden but unpredictable path, and this year, five particular films are hoping to defy the conventional wisdom.
Superman: A Domestic Powerhouse Overlooked

One of the most shocking omissions was James Gunn's Superman. The film was a genuine delight for audiences and critics alike, raking in an impressive $616.7 million at the global box office and successfully rebooting the iconic hero. Its absence, particularly from the Cinematic and Box Office Achievement category, was glaring. Why the snub? The likely explanation lies in the film's stronger domestic appeal compared to more internationally focused blockbusters like F1, which resonated more with the Globes' global voting body.
Oscar Pathway: 🎬
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Visual Effects: This is the film's strongest bet. The Oscars are far more likely to recognize the movie's vibrant and groundbreaking special effects, making a nomination for Best Visual Effects highly probable.
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Franchise Momentum: The snub hasn't dampened enthusiasm for Gunn's vision. The positive reception for the recent Supergirl trailer suggests the DC Universe's tonal direction remains popular, which could indirectly benefit the film's technical categories.
House of Dynamite: A Frontrunner Fades

Kathryn Bigelow's politically charged thriller, House of Dynamite, entered the season as a presumed heavyweight. With a timely narrative and critical raves, it was pegged as a shoo-in for top categories including Best Picture and Best Director. However, the fickle nature of award season momentum has pushed it out of the spotlight. The film's ambiguous ending proved divisive with general audiences, which may have contributed to its complete shutout at the Globes.
Oscar Pathway: 📝
| Category | Viability | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Film Editing | Moderate to High | The film's tense, procedural pacing could earn recognition from the editors' branch. |
| Original Screenplay (Noah Oppenheim) | Moderate | The strength of the script's structure and dialogue could keep it alive in a competitive field. |
| Best Director | Low | Unfortunately for Bigelow (a previous Oscar winner), this year's director field is exceptionally crowded. |
Wake Up Dead Man: Overshadowed by Strong Competition

The third Benoit Blanc mystery, Wake Up Dead Man, was perhaps the most personally surprising snub for me. Following the success of the first two films, this installment features arguably the trilogy's best script and a more emotionally resonant core. It seemed destined for recognition in Musical/Comedy performance categories or for Rian Johnson's sharp writing. Its absence appears to be a classic case of a late-year release being overshadowed by an avalanche of strong competitors.
Oscar Pathway: 🔍
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Adapted Screenplay: This remains its most plausible avenue. Despite frontrunners like One Battle After Another, the cleverness and structure of Johnson's script could secure a nomination in a category that often rewards popular, well-constructed genre fare.
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Long Shot – Supporting Actor/Actress: While the crowded fields make acting nominations unlikely, a standout performance from its deep ensemble shouldn't be entirely ruled out as a dark horse.
Christy: Sydney Sweeney's Uphill Battle

Sydney Sweeney's transformative performance in the boxing drama Christy was hailed as a career-reinventing moment, even as the film itself received mixed reviews. She was initially seen as a ready-made contender for Best Actress. However, momentum is everything, and the lack of precursor support—culminating in the Globes snub—has severely undercut her campaign. The category remains fluid, but she now faces an uphill climb.
Oscar Pathway: 🥊
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The Underdog Narrative: The Oscars love a comeback story. If Sweeney can rally support through guild nominations (SAG is key) and powerful industry screenings, she could still capture one of the final, open slots.
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The Competition: The rise of Rose Byrne in If I Had Legs I'd Kick You has directly competed for the "transformative physical performance" spotlight, making Sweeney's path narrower.
Is This Thing On?: The Late-Season Wild Card

Bradley Cooper's directed dramedy Is This Thing On?, featuring a dramatic turn by Will Arnett, is this season's intriguing wild card. Its major handicap was purely logistical: it screened for critics after the submission deadlines for many early awards, including the Golden Globes. This technicality led to its default omission. However, its late release could now work in its favor, creating a wave of "decency bias"—the tendency for voters to favor the most recent, fresh-in-the-mind work.
Oscar Pathway: 🃏
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Potential Surprise Contender: With strong early reviews painting it as a quality dramedy, it could surge if it connects with audiences upon wide release.
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Key Categories:
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Best Actor (Will Arnett): A vulnerable, against-type performance is always compelling.
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Best Original Screenplay: Cooper's writing could be recognized.
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Best Casting: The film's ensemble is reportedly a major strength, making this relatively new category a perfect target.
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In the end, the Golden Globes are a single benchmark in a long marathon. While these five films stumbled at this particular hurdle, the Oscars have repeatedly shown a willingness to chart their own course. For Superman, House of Dynamite, Wake Up Dead Man, Christy, and Is This Thing On?, the race is far from over. Their campaigns must now pivot, leveraging their unique strengths—be it technical brilliance, screenplay craftsmanship, or the power of a last-minute surge—to capture the attention of the Academy. The next few weeks of guild nominations will be absolutely critical in determining which of these snubbed stories gets to write a final, redemptive chapter.